NRL News

Obama and the Swing States: By the Numbers

by | Nov 5, 2011

By Dave Andrusko


Pro-abortion President Barack Obama

I like to end each week’s edition of National Right to Life News Today with a snapshot of the political fortunes of  pro-abortion President Barack Obama.

There are weekly ebbs (a few) and flows (a lot). For example, a Reuters/Ipsos poll showed  50% disapproval, although his favorable were up two points (from 47% to 49%). Other polls paint a much grimmer picture for Obama.

And only 25% of the country, according to this poll, believe the country is headed in the right direction, arguable the single most important index of a President’s re-electability.

USA Today ran a very interesting front page story today, headlined “Swing States poll: Obama’s path to 2nd term an uphill climb.” In those dozen swing  states—states that neither side expects to be in their column—only 37% believe they are better off, compared to 60% who believe their families aren’t better off than in 2008. Other findings from the poll, as summarized by reporter Susan Page

·                  “By 51%-38%, swing-state voters say it was a ‘bad thing’ that Congress enacted Obama’s signature health care overhaul last year.”

·         “Overall… Obama’s job-approval rating in the swing states is just 40%, well below the level of past presidents who have won second terms and below the 45% rating he gets in other states. His support sags especially low among men and among white, non-Hispanic voters. Only about one-third of those groups say they approve of the job Obama is doing as president.”

·         “By more than 2 to 1, Republicans in swing states are more likely than Democrats to say they are ‘extremely enthusiastic’ about voting for president next year — an important test of whether supporters will be willing to volunteer their time, contribute money and vote. The enthusiasm gap between Republicans and Democrats and the intense opposition to Obama among Republicans loom as major challenges for the president.”

“One year before Election Day, the debut Swing States survey charts a narrower and more difficult course to victory for Obama than he navigated four years ago — and shows opportunities for Republicans in some states that have gone Democratic for decades.”

The twelve swing states are Michigan, Florida, North Carolina, Virginia, Colorado, Nevada, New Mexico, Iowa, Ohio, Wisconsin, New Hampshire, and Pennsylvania.

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Categories: Politics