By Dave Andrusko
Last Friday, the last day of the week, I ran a pair of columns, which can be summarized as (a) the Newt Gingrich Express appears to have slowed down; and (b) it would be wise to keep an eye open for a possible surprise in the January 3 Iowa caucuses and/or the January 10 New Hampshire primary. As we wrap of the first day’s stories for this week, it could be summary as “more of the same.”
But first a quick look at the national picture. Using Gallup’s daily tracking survey as a measure, former Speaker Gingrich’s margin over former Massachusetts Gov. Mitt Romney has dropped from 15% (37% to 22% at the beginning of the month) to 2% (24% to 22%). Rep. Ron Paul has risen to 11%.
CNN’s poll today found Gingrich and Romney tied at 28% among Republicans and independents who lean towards the GOP as their choice for their party’s nominee. However over a third said they hadn’t made up their minds and 56% said they might change their minds!
Back to Iowa: There continues to be a continuing reshuffling (yet again!) in Iowa. There is much skepticism about the results from a Democratic pollster, PPP, which found Rep. Paul in the lead with 23%, to 20% for Romney, 14% for Gingrich, and 10% each for former Senator Rick Santorum, Rep. Michele Bachmann, and Texas Gov. Rick Perry.
However another poll, by Insider Advantage, also found Paul in the lead with 24%, to 18% for Romney, 16% for Perry, 13% for Gingrich, and 10% for Bachmann.
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