NRL News

Obama’s Weaknesses on Display in Latest Polling

by | Mar 13, 2012

By Dave Andrusko

Pro-abortion President Barack Obama

In the era of 24/7 news coverage, we may have already come to the conclusion of the media-driven “Obama’s re-election is inevitable” boomlet.

The Washington Post reported Monday that the President’s job approval ratings have take a hit in the latest Washington Post/ABC News poll. According to Dan Balz and Jon Cohen

“The negative movement has also stalled what had been a gradual increase since the fall in the president’s overall approval rating. In the new poll, 46 percent approve of the way Obama is handling his job; 50 percent disapprove. That’s a mirror image of his 50 to 46 positive split in early February. The downshift is particularly notable among independents — 57 percent of whom now disapprove — and among white people without college degrees, with disapproval among this group now topping approval by a ratio of more than 2 to 1, at 66 versus 28 percent.”

The gist of the story is that this is a reflection of rising gas prices. No doubt that is hurting President Obama, but a more complete assessment comes from Ed Morrissey. He noted out that the Post had not reported its breakout of Democrats/Republicans/Independents in the last couple of polls.

This time it did, demonstrating a serious sampling bias going back to January: more Democrats and fewer Republicans than were warranted. The latest is still not representative, but, as Morrissey writes,

“the decline in Obama’s numbers is almost entirely a function of their absurd sampling bias in previous polls.  Imagine what it would be if they actually had a survey where Democrats and Republicans had parity in line with the last national election.”

The Post also reports that “Former Massachusetts governor Mitt Romney and former senator Rick Santorum (Pa.) now both run about evenly with Obama.” Specifically, among registered voters, 49% would vote for Romney as compared to 47% for Obama. Obama has a 49% to 46% edge over  Santorum.

Rasmussen Reports this morning has several very useful items. First, “26% of the nation’s voters Strongly Approve of the way that Barack Obama is performing his role as president. Forty-two percent (42%) Strongly Disapprove, giving Obama a Presidential Approval Index rating of -16.”

Second, former Gov. Mitt Romney is ahead of Obama 46% to 43%; Santorum trails by the same 46% to 45%.

Third, and another indication of Obama’s real weaknesses, in a national survey of 1,000 Likely Voters, only 37% said President Obama’s views are more like their own. “Most (53%) say they think more like one of the four Republican presidential hopefuls,” according to Rasmussen.

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Categories: Obama