NRL News

Supreme Court Arguments Increase Public’s Dislike for ObamaCare

by | Apr 3, 2012

By Dave Andrusko

Five days after the Supreme Court finished putting  ObamaCare through the Constitutional wringer, the media, collectively, continues to write non-stop. In that vein, let’s talk about two analyses that are very enlightening: a Rasmussen Reports and a story from the Washington Post.

Backdrop: there has never been majority support for ObamaCare but what does ebb and flow is the public’s sense that ObamaCare would be repealed. Here’s what Rasmussen Reports had to say this morning about the results of a survey of 1,000 likely voters conducted over the weekend:

“Following a week of highly-publicized hearings before the U.S. Supreme Court on the constitutionality of President Obama’s health care law, most voters continue to favor repeal of the law, and more than ever think it’s likely to be repealed.

“A new Rasmussen Reports national telephone survey finds that 54% of Likely U.S. Voters at least somewhat favor repeal of the health care law, including 41% who Strongly Favor it.  Forty percent (40%) are at least somewhat opposed to repeal, with 25% who are Strongly Opposed.  Since the law’s passage by Congress in March 2010, most voters have favored repeal in virtually every survey, with support running as high as 62%. Opposition to repeal has ranged from 32% to 44%.

In addition a “new high” of 61% see repeal as likely! That’s a figure worth keeping in mind.

The Post wrote today about a poll conducted for itself and the Pew Research Center. The headline is “Political fallout: High court showdown hurts health care law, and justices.”

There is a lot of extraneous stuff about the opinions vis a vis the High Court, but two interesting conclusions we can draw. One is that most people’s opinion of ObamaCare and the Court were “unmoved” after last week’s six hours of oral arguments.

But having written that, Jon Cohen, Peyton M. Craighill and Scott Clement, manage to miss a lot about all those whose opinions DID change. For example, only self-identified “liberal Democrats” were more favorably disposed than less likely to like ObamaCare (23% to 7%). Note that Democrats as a whole were slightly more likely to be less favorably disposed (13%) than more favorably disposed.

Note as well that there was much less difference between Republicans as a whole and Conservative Republicans. Collectively all Republicans were twelve times less likely to like the law after the hearings (35% to 3%) while self-identified conservative Republicans were only slightly more negative (39% to 3%).

In addition, the target population for both major parties—Independents—were over four and one-half times more likely to like ObamaCare less after the justices questioned attorneys than more (27% to 6%).

What does this tell us? Support for ObamaCare is soft, even among Democrats, which should not surprise us, given Rasmussen’s numbers over time. Opposition to the “Affordable Health Care Act” unites Republicans, and has a lot of appeal for Independents. By the way to describe Independents’ 27% to 6% increased opposition to ObamaCare as a mere “tilt more negatively” must qualify as the ultimate exercise in finding a silver lining.

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Categories: ObamaCare
Tags: ObamaCare