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Where the Presidential race stands as we approach NRLC’s 42nd Annual Convention

by | Jun 26, 2012

Pro-Life Mitt Romney and Pro-Abortion Barack Obama


By Dave Andrusko
   Starting Wednesday, the delightful pull of National Right to Life’s 42nd annual convention will mean that there will be less time to blog over the next three days. I figure you’d much rather read a little later about the plethora of workshops and general sessions that will take place, beginning Wednesday night with the annual meeting of the Association for Interdisciplinary Research in Values and Social Change.
    NRL News Today has a story today about the anticipation that is mounting on the eve of the Supreme Court’s ObamaCare decision (“Countdown to Supreme Court ObamaCare Decision”). While I mentioned how deeply unpopular ObamaCare has proven to be, there is even more evidence found in a piece written by Jeffrey Anderson for the Weekly Standard. His opening paragraph is
“As the nation awaits the Supreme Court’s ruling on President Obama’s centerpiece legislation, it’s worth reviewing the American public’s response to it across the 27 months since Obama signed it into law.  Over that span, from March 2010 through a poll released this morning, Rasmussen has conducted 98 polls of likely voters.  All 98 times, support for repeal has outpaced opposition to repeal.  Across 98 contests, Obamacare has gone 0 and 98.”
   Wow!
   Most accounts—virtually all accounts—dismiss the importance of the public’s resistance to ObamaCare, arguing that the entire election will pivot on the state of the economy. You don’t have to minimize the impact of a struggling economy to understand that it is not the ONLY issue.
  Referring to the Supreme Court’s decision, Charlie Cook, the well-respected political pundit, concludes
“Sure, this decision will dominate editorial pages, talk shows, and even—briefly—supermarket-aisle and office-coffeemaker conversation. But this remains an election about the economy.”
  Yesterday in his National Journal column Cook painted a very gloomy picture for pro-abortion President Barack Obama. “We are past the point where Obama can win a referendum election, regardless of whether it is on him or the economy,” Cook writes.
   What Obama has to do is compete better than polls indicate he is now doing with  “the narrow sliver of undecided voters, between 6 and 8 percent of the electorate.” How? By making Obama “the lesser of two evils.” Which is exactly why you should expect dirt on top of mud over the next 4+ months from the Obama re-election effort.
   The other key to Obama winning, Cook argues, is turnout among African-Americans and Latinos. If you are an Obama partisan, what’s really nerve wracking is that Obama needs an even larger turnout among these groups (especially Latinos) in 2012 than he benefited from in 2008 in order to prevail.
   One other very important factor is that both Gallup and Rasmussen find a steep drop in consumer confidence in June—to the lowest point since January. Combine that with Rasmussen’s findings that just 30% of voters say the country is heading in the right direction—versus 64% who think the country is heading down the wrong track—and you can anticipate that the content of Obama’s campaign ads will be in a full-blown race to the bottom.
Categories: Politics