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Is Obama really ahead of Romney in Wisconsin?

by | Jun 6, 2012

By Dave Andrusko

Pro-Life Mitt Romney, Pro-Abortion Barack Obama

I have time for one last brief story, an addendum to our two stories about pro-life Wisconsin Scott Walker who defeated pro-abortion Milwaukee Mayor Tom Barrett in a recall election Tuesday.

The consolation for Democrats was that supposedly the same electorate that chose Walker by 7 points over Barrett also favored pro-abortion President Barack Obama over pro-life Mitt Romney by the same 7 point margin in the exit polls.

A slew of analysts (beginning with Michael Barone and Jay Cost) who understand statistics a whole lot better than I do showed how this simply wasn’t true. Barone, for example, argues that if the exit polls are properly weighted, the two men were tied at 48%.

Kraushaar, writing for the National Journal, didn’t challenge the 7 point Obama over Romney margin. He simply pointed out that

“that’s hardly good news: with near-presidential level turnout (and notably higher level of union turnout), Obama is running five points behind his 2008 performance.  Replicate that dropoff across the board, and all the key swing states flip to Mitt Romney.”

Kraushaar also talked about something we did Wednesday:

“For all of Obama’s political talent, he’s been a major drag on his party since taking office.  In 2009, Republicans won two hotly-contested gubernatorial races in Virginia and New Jersey, with the victors (Chris Christie/Bob McDonnell) now on Romney’s vice-presidential short list. During the heat of the health care debate in 2010, Scott Brown picked up Ted Kennedy’s Senate seat in deep blue Massachusetts.  Later that year, Republicans regained control of the House, by winning a whopping 63 seats while picking up six Senate seats.  And now, Walker wins the recall by a bigger margin than in the 2010 election, which was already a watershed year for Wisconsin Republicans.”

No, Tuesday was an unmitigated disaster for pro-abortionists, a terrific victory for pro-lifers.

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Categories: Politics