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Romney retains lead in Gallup, leads also in Politico/GWU Battleground poll

by | Oct 22, 2012

By Dave Andrusko

Pro-life team of Mitt Romney and Paul Ryan

In anticipation of tonight’s third and final presidential debate, when we post our late afternoon/early evening National Right to Life News Today stories, we’ll probably be updating the polls yet again. Here’s what we know as of now. (Spoiler alert: it’s very good news.)

The Politico/George Washington University Battleground poll  finds Romney in the lead over President Obama, 49% to 47%–a three point improvement from a week ago. It’s the first time Romney has led since May. (More about this poll below.)

Gallup continues to have pro-life Mitt Romney with a six-point lead, 51% to 45%. I saw Gallup Editor in Chief Frank Newport defend the polling company’s methodology as “extremely solid” on Fox News Sunday, explaining thoroughly why Gallup’s margin is much larger than other polls. Speaking of which….

Rasmussen this morning has Romney up two points nationally, 49% to 47%.

The latest NBC News/Wall Street Journal poll has the two men tied at 47%

How about the “battleground” states?  The Politico/George Washington University Battleground poll has Romney up 50% to 48%. Rasmussen find Romney up three points, 49% to 46% in its eleven “swing states.” (We talk more about these states in a separate story.)

Getting back to the Politico/George Washington University Battleground poll, Romney leads 50% to 48% across the 10 states identified by POLITICO as competitive. He is also winning the battle of the gender gaps. He is up +10 among men, while Obama is up +6 among women. (Obama was up eleven.)

And as Ed Morrissey noted this morning, “The second key is age demographics.  Obama has a 30-point lead among voters 34 years and younger, but that’s his only win.  He and Romney tie among 35-44 year olds at 48 each, but Romney has double digit leads among 45-64 year olds (54/44) and seniors (58/38).  Those last two demographics are the most likely to vote in the election.”

In addition, Romney is ahead in the three issues likely voters said were most important to them.

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Categories: Mitt Romney