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A “nightmare scenario” for Hillary Clinton?

by | Jan 14, 2016

By Dave Andrusko

Pro-abortion Sen. Bernie Sanders and pro-abortion former Secretary of State Hillary Clinton

Pro-abortion Sen. Bernie Sanders and pro-abortion former Secretary of State Hillary Clinton

Be sure to tune in tonight to the debate among the Republican presidential candidates. We’ll talk about that tomorrow.

Meanwhile, let’s start with three very revealing quotes, all appearing in the last two days.

Democrats Hillary Clinton and Bernie Sanders are locked in a two-point race in Iowa ahead of the Feb. 1 caucuses, raising the prospect that eight years after her stinging loss there to Barack Obama, the state that kicks off the presidential nominating process may once again deal the front-runner a momentum-sapping blow— Margaret Talev, Bloomberg News.

Clinton’s attacks produce windfall of campaign cash for Sanders—headline for story written by the Washington Post’s Karen Tumulty.

Hillary Clinton says she’s ‘not nervous at all’ about Bernie Sanders. She should beWashington Post columnist Chris Cillizza.

As NRL News Today readers know,  a recent Quinnipiac polling of likely Democratic participants in the February 1 Iowa caucuses found that Democratic Socialist Senator Bernie Sanders (Vt.) in a month had wiped out an 11 point deficit and led the former Secretary of State by 5 points.

As well respected as the Quinnipiac poll is, the cat’s meow in Iowa is the Des Moines Register survey. Today a Bloomberg News/Des Moines Register poll showed Clinton up by only 2 points—42% to 40%.

Perhaps most revealing is how changeable Iowa Democrats appear to be. Talev writes

Just weeks before votes will be cast, the race remains fluid: 40 percent of those surveyed say they either have not selected a first choice or may be persuaded to change their minds about whom to back in the nation’s first nominating contest.

Tumulty’s story explores exactly what you would expect. Even Chelsea Clinton has got in the act, hurtling barbs at Sanders, and guess what? According to Tumulty

Hillary Clinton’s new barrage against Bernie Sanders, the Democratic presidential primary opponent she has all but ignored through most of her campaign, is having an effect — though probably not the one she intended.

Sanders’s underdog campaign said it is seeing a surge of contributions as a direct result of the new attention it is getting from the Democratic front-runner, with money coming in at a clip nearly four times the average daily rate reported in the last quarter of 2015.

I happened to be on the tread mill yesterday morning when Mrs. Clinton was asked by Today” show host Savannah Guthrie if she was worried about Sanders. She responded

“No, I’m not nervous at all,” adding, “I’m working hard, and I intend to keep working as hard as I can until the last vote or caucus-goer expresses an opinion. I’m excited about where we are.”

“That’s the wrong answer,” Cillizza said flatly.

Clinton should ABSOLUTELY be nervous about the state of the race with less than three weeks before voters in Iowa head to caucuses. There are warning signs almost everywhere she looks that suggest that the Vermont socialist is gaining momentum at exactly the worst moment for Clinton’s chances at winning the nomination.

Those “signs” include real movement not just in Iowa polls but national survey in Sanders direction and the sense that Sanders might well be able to make inroads into sectors of the Democratic party’s coalition generally conceded to Clinton. Cillizza ends with this:

Politics is a changeable business. History has shown that how one state votes influences how the states that follow it in the primary process vote. That’s why losing Iowa and New Hampshire, which now seems possible if not likely, is a nightmare scenario for Clinton. And one that should make her very nervous.

Categories: Politics