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New Quinnipiac University poll shows Clinton’s advantage over Trump nationwide down to two points

by | Jun 29, 2016

By Dave Andrusko

trump-clintonA national poll released this morning by Quinnipiac University shows small changes from June 1, changes that reduced pro-abortion Hillary Clinton’s lead over Donald Trump from 4 points (45% to 41%) to 2 points (42% to 40%)–“too close to call,” according to Quinnipiac.

If third party candidates are included, “Clinton gets 39 percent with Trump at 37 percent,” according to the new poll. “Libertarian Party candidate Gary Johnson gets 8 percent and Green Party candidate Jill Stein gets 4 percent.”

According to the press release that accompanied the results

American voters are deeply divided along gender, racial, age and party lines. Women back Clinton 50-33 percent while men back Trump 47-34 percent.

White voters back Trump 47-34 percent. Black voters back Clinton 91-1 percent and Hispanic voters back her 50-33 percent. Voters 18 to 34 years old go Democratic 48-23 percent, while voters over 65 years old go Republican 51-35 percent.

Democrats go to Clinton 89-3 percent, as Republicans go to Trump 84-6 percent. Independent voters are divided with 36 percent for Trump and 34 percent for Clinton.

Hot Air’s Ed Morrissey added important context.

For example, Trump’s support among Hispanic voters rose from 18% to 33% while Clinton’s dropped from 65% to 50%. “That’s a startling jump, but one that should have given Trump a better outcome in overall support if this involved a significant portion of the sample,” Morrissey wrote.

Among white voters, Trump’s advantage slipped from 50% to 33% for Clinton to 47% for Trump and 34% for Clinton. While that change is within the margin of error this “shows that he’s not growing support in that demo[graphic].”

Quinnipiac’s survey of 1,610 registered voters found

American voters say 58-33 percent that Clinton is better prepared to be president than Trump; 53-33 percent that she is more intelligent and 46-37 percent that she has higher moral standards. But voters say 45-37 percent that Trump is more honest and trustworthy and 49-43 percent that he is a stronger leader.

Just how unpopular both candidates remain with the public is revealed in these three sets of numbers:

Both top candidates get negative favorability ratings, 34-57 percent for Trump and 37-57 percent for Clinton.

Trump will not be a good president, American voters say 58-35 percent.

Clinton will not be a good president, voters say 53-43 percent.

Categories: Politics