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Clinton lead down to 5 points over Trump in New USA Today/Suffolk Poll

by | Jul 5, 2016

Pro-abortion Hillary Clinton

Pro-abortion Hillary Clinton

By Dave Andrusko

The topsy-turvy race between pro-abortion Hillary Clinton and billionaire Donald Trump took another twist Monday when a USA TODAY/Suffolk Poll found that Mr. Trump had narrowed Mrs. Clinton lead to five points: 45.6% to 40.4%.

USA Today’s Susan Page and Fernanda Crescende reported that two months ago Clinton

led in the USA TODAY survey by double digits, 50%-39%. Since the poll last spring, both candidates have consolidated their claims to their parties’ nominations but neither has seen a significant bump in his or her standing. Indeed, Clinton’s support has dropped by almost five points.

When two other candidates are added–Libertarian candidate Gary Johnson and Green Party candidate Jill Stein– Clinton’s advantage drops to four points, 39%-35%. The poll of 1,000 likely voters, taken by landline and cell phones from June 26 to 29, has Johnson with 8% and Stein with 3%.

Donald Trump

Donald Trump

As is the case with all polls to date, more people have an unfavorable than favorable opinion of both candidates—53% have an unfavorable opinion of Clinton; 60% have an unfavorable opinion of Trump.

Page and Crescende note

Nearly one in five respondents hold a negative view of them both — a swing group whose lesser-of-two-evils choice could determine the outcome of a competitive election, says David Paleologos, director of the Suffolk University Political Research Center.

“Despite their negative feelings toward both candidates, when asked to choose between the two, 26% chose Trump, 19% picked Clinton, 44% were undecided and 11% refused a response,” Paleologos say

There were other interesting additional insights from the survey.

#1. “Trump leads by nine points among whites, 47%-38%, while Clinton leads among Hispanics by more than 2-1 and among African Americans by 10-1.”

#2. “Among key demographic groups, Clinton leads Trump overall because of her strength among female voters, 50%-38%. Male voters split almost evenly, with 43% for Trump, 41% for Clinton.” And

#3. “Republicans by 3-1 say Trump should pick a vice presidential candidate who has Washington experience,” according to Page and Crescende. “Democrats by 2-1 say Clinton should pick a running mate with the sort of progressive positions that mark her primary rival, Vermont Sen. Bernie Sanders, or Massachusetts Sen. Elizabeth Warren.”

Categories: Politics