NRL News

Trump comes out of GOP convention with lead over Clinton in all major polls, Democrats off to rocky start in Philadelphia

by | Jul 25, 2016

By Dave Andrusko

Donald Trump

Donald Trump

I was literally walking through the hallway of the building in which I park my car when I looked up at the television set and saw Democratic National Committee Chair Debbie Wasserman Schultz being mercilessly booed by her own Florida delegation. (The “crawl” underneath said something to the effect that the jeers outnumbered the cheers which is like saying the sound of 727 is louder than a Cessna.) She had already agreed to step down as chair after the convention ends but that did little to curb the anger. Indeed, the universal consensus was why was she anywhere near the convention? (Later in the day she agreed not to gavel the convention to order.)

As our savvy readers already know, this has been a disastrous few days for the Democrats, leading up to their convention which began today in Philadelphia. Suffice it to say the Bernie Sanders folks are furious by the information contained in hacked DNC emails which proved what they always knew: that Wasserman Schultz and the DNC apparatus put not just a thumb on the scales but both hands to ensure that pro-abortion Hillary Clinton would be the party’s nominee.

The next few days promise to make the Republican convention look like a church picnic.

All the most recent polls show Donald Trump ahead of Clinton. Watching CNN at the gym at 7:00 this morning, I heard host Chris Cuomo retort that this was before the announcement that pro-abortion Virginia Senator Tim Kaine would be her running mate, as if this somehow would dig Clinton out the enormous hole she has dug for herself.

More about Kaine in a separate post.

Pro-abortion Democratic Party Chair Debbie Wasserman Schultz (D-Fl.)

Pro-abortion Democratic Party Chair Debbie Wasserman Schultz (D-Fl.)

CNN is one of the major media outlets whose polls are most supportive of Clinton. But results released today show she has lost the seven point advantage she enjoyed (49% to 42%) and now she trails by three points (48%-45%) among registered voters.

That margin increases to five (44% to 39%) if the Libertarian Gary Johnson and Green Party candidates Jill Green are included in the survey.

Even CBS News has Trump up a point–44% to 43% while Morning Consult also has Trump up four points (44% to 40%).

Ditto for the Los Angeles /USC poll (which is a daily survey) finds Trump 45% to 41%. And Trump is up two points (51% to 49%)  in The Gravis poll.

Here are a few very important summary points from CNN’s Jennifer Agiesta:

Beyond boosting his overall support, Trump’s favorability rating is also on the rise (46% of registered voters say they have a positive view, up from 39% pre-convention), while his advantage over Clinton on handling top issues climbs. He now holds double-digit margins over Clinton as more trusted on the economy and terrorism. Trump also cut into Clinton’s edge on managing foreign policy (50% said they trusted her more, down from 57% pre-convention).


Pre-convention, independents split 34% Clinton to 31% Trump, with sizable numbers behind Johnson (22%) and Stein (10%). Now, 46% say they back Trump, 28% Clinton, 15% Johnson and 4% Stein.

Donald Trump and Hillary Clinton

Donald Trump and Hillary Clinton

To be more explicit, Trump was behind with Independents by 3 points but came out of last week’s convention ahead by 18 points.

One other note from Agiesta:

The convention also helped Trump make strides in his personal image. A majority (52%) now say Trump is running for president for the good of the country rather than personal gain, just 44% say the same about Clinton. He’s increased the share who call him honest and trustworthy (from 38% to 43%), and who would be proud to have him as president (from 32% to 39%). And nearly half now say he’s in touch with the problems ordinary Americans face in their daily lives (46% say so, 37% did before the convention).

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Categories: Politics