By Dave Andrusko

Donald Trump and Hillary Clinton

Thanks to all of you who “liked” and/or emailed me to say good things about two stories NRL News Today posted yesterday.

One I titled “Pro-life Kellyanne Conway picked to manage Trump campaign.”

The other (which I had great fun writing] was headlined, “Six thoughts about the election 75 days out.”

The common denominators? There were many, here are just two.

The Trump campaign is now being managed by a true-blue pro-life activist, one of the nation’s elite pollsters, who understands what the pro-life community can and will bring to the table come November 8.

Second, in spite of all you will hear (particularly over the next two weeks), the contest between Donald Trump and pro-abortion-to-the-hilt Hillary Clinton is close–and getting closer. One absolutely sure sign: Clinton’s attacks on Trump are vicious even by the Clintons’ standards.

Let me briefly update the numbers by borrowing heavily from Gary Bauer, who heads “The Campaign for Working Families.” In his blog today, Gary begins with the obvious but critically important consideration: “Polling this year has been wildly unpredictable.”

For example, in recent days three major national polls were released. One had Clinton up eight points, one had her up three points and one had Trump and Clinton tied. Only one of those polls surveyed likely voters and that was poll that found Trump and Clinton tied at 44%.

Of course, the election isn’t necessarily a national contest, but a series of state-by-state races that determine the outcome in the Electoral College. So let’s see how Trump is doing in some key swing states.

· A new poll finds Trump leading by two points in Florida — 43% to 41%.

· In North Carolina, Clinton is up just one point — 48% to 47%. Given the poll’s margin of error, Trump could be leading too.

· In Nevada, one recent poll found Clinton leading Trump by only two points — 44% to 42%. Barack Obama carried the state four years ago by six points.

· In Iowa, another state Obama carried by six points, Trump and Clinton were tied at 40%.

Gary has other positive examples and to be accurate, he correctly adds “there are areas of concern” as well.

A quick additional observation that came up when my wife and I were having coffee this morning. When some pollster tells us the two candidates are virtually neck-and-neck and less than a week later announces that one (always Clinton)is wildly ahead, know that is simply… not… true.

Just to be clear, it also wouldn’t be true if Trump were said to be suddenly 10 points ahead in the national polling. That’s not the way things work, certainly not 10+ weeks out.

By the way, worth noting is that the #1 Trump hater, the New York Times, ran a piece today headlined, “In the Race for Registered Voters, Republicans Are Gaining.”

Adam Pearce writes, “Although there are still more registered Democrats than Republicans in these key states, the margin is much smaller than it was in 2012,” adding, “The gains made by Republicans since 2012 have been especially sharp in North Carolina and Florida” (two absolutely pivotal states).

Pearce layers the story with asides to lessen the impact of what he had learned, but it doesn’t change that Republicans are showing a real uptick in registering voters .

The Times story comes the day after Ben Schreckinger wrote a story for POLITICO under the headline “Hope for Trump: GOP winning registration race in key states: In Pennsylvania, Florida, Iowa and North Carolina, more new voters identify as Republican.”

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