NRL News

CNN poll finds President Trump 7 points up in key battleground states

by | May 15, 2020

By Dave Andrusko

Two stories two days apart—one at National Review Online on Wednesday, the other at The Hill today—reinforce what we talked about yesterday: why Democrats are very nervous even though pro-abortion Vice President Joe Biden is doing well, at least in many of the most recent polls.

On Wednesday, Kyle Smith wrote a post headlined, “CNN Buries Its Own Poll Results on Trump’s Favorability. Guess Why.”

Of course the “guess why” was facetious. CNN loathes Trump with a passion and could not be expected to act like, say, a cable news network, right? What were the results CNN buried? CNN, Smith wrote,

seemed oddly unenthused about its own poll. And the story to which the homepage linked doesn’t mention that Trump had never scored higher in a CNN poll. True, there are lots of noisy data in the piece, most of which cut against Trump. But on the other hand the single most surprising and hence most newsworthy detail of the poll was that Trump holds a seven-point lead over Biden in the battleground states. 

Worse yet, Smith writes, CNN is determined to blow off its own poll:

The CNN story doesn’t even tell us what that figure is — seven points seems like a pretty big number — and downplays its own finding by noting, “Given the small sample size in that subset of voters, it is difficult to determine with certainty whether the movement is significant or a fluke of random sampling.”

Trump’s enduring hold on his base (and decent marks with Independents) annoys the Media Establishment to no end. Smith concludes

After three and a quarter years of the media talking themselves into believing the “walls are closing in,” “the noose is tightening,” and “the endgame has begun,” the voters don’t seem to be confirming that Trump is toast. On the contrary, they have substantially more positive views about Trump than they did when they elected him president. And Biden can’t hide in that basement forever.

“And Biden can’t hide in that basement forever,” indeed, as we discussed yesterday. Biden is a gaffe machine on steroids even in a controlled environment. Imagine what happens when he is not fed softball questions or when he actually has to debate.

But to be fair to CNN, they ran a separate story, written by their polling director, Jennifer Agiesta, where the two lead paragraphs do not hide President Trump’s 7 point lead in so-called “battleground states”:

Presumptive Democratic nominee Joe Biden’s lead over President Donald Trump now stands at five points, but Trump has an edge in the critical battleground states that could decide the electoral college, according to a new CNN poll conducted by SSRS.

In the new poll, 51% of registered voters nationwide back Biden, while 46% say they prefer Trump, while in the battlegrounds, 52% favor Trump and 45% Biden.

By the way, what are CNN’s “battleground states”?

They are defined as the 15 states decided by 8 points or less in 2016 –Arizona, Colorado, Florida, Georgia, Maine, Michigan, Minnesota, Nevada, New Hampshire, New Mexico, North Carolina, Ohio, Pennsylvania, Virginia and Wisconsin.

 What about The Hill’s story, that ran this morning? “Sanders adviser warns of ‘alarming trends’ that could lead to Biden’s defeat,” written by Jonathan Easley. 

The objective of “a memo” sent out by a top adviser to Sen. Bernie Sanders’s presidential campaign ostensibly was to warn Biden that he’s not doing well with “Latinos, working class voters and young people.” What to do? According to Jeff Weaver, move even further to the Left than Biden already has. Easley writes

Weaver said Biden’s recent moves to the left on issues such as higher education, as well as the new policy task force, are “a good first step,” but not nearly enough to reach left-leaning voters who are cool on his candidacy.

On our issue, it’d be difficult to imagine what further promises Biden could make. There was only one note in the pro-abortion songbook he wouldn’t sing: he supported the Hyde Amendment, which in refusing to have the taxpayer shell out to pay for elective abortions is overwhelmingly supported by the public.

But soon enough, Biden cleared his throat and eliminated that discordant note. Of course he opposed the Hyde Amendment which has conservatively saved well over two million lives.

With advice from a “friend” like Weaver, Biden might ask himself, who needs enemies?

Categories: Donald Trump