NRL News

Four days after the conclusion of the Republican National Convention, what do we know?

by | Aug 31, 2020

By Dave Andrusko

Let’s assume you are not a member of the Trump-hating media, which has pledged its undying fealty to defeating the most pro-life President we’ve ever had. You are just a ordinary American who watched the two national political conventions. How could you honestly not come away thinking that pro-abortion former Vice President Joe Biden would be lucky to get any “bounce” (he got none) and that President Trump would benefit (probably a minimum of a +4). 

As you would expect, the CNNs of this world were busy telling us Trump got no jump start and that he trails Biden by a gazillion points. Less partisan outlets saw otherwise.

Under the headline, “Trump Pulls Closer to Biden After RNC: Post-convention poll shows Trump almost halved national deficit against the Democratic nominee,” the Morning Consult tells us

Former Vice President Joe Biden leads President Trump 50% to 44% among likely voters following the Republican National Convention vs. a lead of 52% to 42% before it began.

Trump cut into Biden’s lead among suburbanites and grew his support among white voters, though he worsened his standing with voters of color. [Other polls show the President’s support increased. See below.]

Biden’s favorability numbers weakened while the president’s remained steady

A new Hill-HarrisX poll showed the President’s numbers among voters of color improved. The Hill reports

President Trump‘s support among black voters rose 9 percentage points amid the Republican National Convention, a new Hill-HarrisX poll finds. 

Twenty-four percent of registered black voters in the Aug. 22-25 survey, which included the first two days of the convention, said they approve of the job Trump is doing as president, while 76 percent said they disapprove.

That is up 9 points from the previous survey conducted Aug. 8-11, where the President received 15 percent support among this group.

The survey found support among Hispanic voters also grew by 2 percentage points, from 30 percent in the last poll to 32 percent in this most recent survey.

But by far the most amusing twist on turning great news for the President into a danger came from POLITICO. How in the world, you might ask yourself, can the undisputed fact the COVID-19 “Virus cases are dropping everywhere” not be wonderful news for President Trump—and the American people! Here’s how.

Dan Goldberg tells us

The positive trends are real. Covid-19 cases have been falling since late July, including in several battleground states. Hospitalizations have dropped 37 percent in the last month and the daily death count is leveling off.

Hot Air’s Ed Morrissey points out how this could/should signal even better things to come:

After a summer of spikes, national infection rates have finally reversed again. So too have hospitalizations and deaths, and since the latter is a lagging indicator, we can expect to see it drop more dramatically over the next few weeks.

So, one more time. How is this bad news for President Trump. Goldberg, of course, picks sources who warn [fear?] the President will push reopening/a return to normalcy too quickly and/or the media narrative blaming Trump  is “already baked” in.


Beyond the continued progress Trump is making in the all-important “battleground” states, here’s one other note, from Axios, very much worth noting. Under the headline, ”Why the polls could lead us astray again,” Sara Kehaulani Goo and David Nather lay out the three reasons why polls are even less reliable in 2020 than in prior presidential contests.

They are

  1. “The problems identified with state polling in 2016 remain.” 
  2. “The coronavirus pandemic will make actual voting more volatile.”
  3. “We’re still in early innings. Conventions are wrapped up and the campaigns seem like they’ve been going on for years, but there’s a long way to go.” 

That is, “There are the unforeseeable, late-breaking events that can change the momentum of the race.”

Stay tuned to NRL News Today. We will keep you up to date while cutting through the media brush.

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Categories: Donald Trump