NRL News

Problems mount for Biden as his lead shrinks in Battleground states

by | Sep 15, 2020

By Dave Andrusko

Readers seemed to like this format for updates on the election: start with representative quotes and then fill in the details. Here we go…

“The Rasmussen Reports daily Presidential Tracking Poll for Tuesday shows that 51% of Likely U.S. Voters approve of President Trump’s job performance. Forty-eight percent (48%) disapprove.”

Latest Polls: Florida: Tied | North Carolina: Trump +2,Tied | Arizona: Biden +2,+3” — Real Clear Politics

 “Weakening support among Latinos is clearly an issue for Biden in Florida, but it’s also part of a larger problem. Polls show him slightly trailing Clinton among the Latino population nationwide. And Clinton already lost Latino support relative to President Barack Obama’s 2012 performance.”– Laura Ramirez and Hunter Walker, Yahoo News

“Speaking during a virtual roundtable with small business owners in Arizona, Harris vowed that they will have an ally in the White House with the campaign’s “Build Back Better” initiative.

“However, the California senator appeared to briefly suggest that she was at the top of the Democratic ticket.

‘A Harris administration, together with Joe Biden as the president of the United States,’ she said. She quickly clarified, ‘The Biden-Harris administration will provide access to $100 billion in low-interest loans and investments from minority business owners.’” — Fox News

*As we discussed on Monday, President Trump’s approval ratings have been in and around 50% for some time, according to Rasmussen Reports. With a press that could not be more forgiving or more unctuous, President Obama’s approval ratings were 51%-53% at a comparable time in his first term. Imagine what President Trump’s numbers would be if he were not the target of non-stop criticism by the Media Establishment.

*I can’t say every day, but most every day, the margin by which pro-abortion former vice president Joe Biden leads President Trump in “battleground” states shrinks. Florida, of course, is crucial to the President as is North Carolina. President Trump is tied in Florida and ahead by 2 points in one poll of North Carolina, tied in another. And, as native Minnesotan, I can almost guarantee that the final outcome in the Gopher State will very close. In fact, I just saw a new survey from Morning Consult that had Biden ahead by just 4 points—48% to 44%— inside the poll’s four point margin of error.

*Speaking of panic, virtually every day of late there crops up another story making the same point: President Trump’s approval among Latinos is increasing — and not just in Florida. As Laura Ramirez and Hunter Walker wrote today,

As the 2016 election showed once again, a relatively small number of voters in swing states can prove decisive. Although Clinton handily won the nationwide popular vote, Trump secured an Electoral College win because he won Wisconsin, Michigan and Pennsylvania by just about 79,000 total votes

Those three crucial swing states, which together deliver 46 Electoral College votes, are home to over 1.6 million Latinos. 

And then there’s….

*Pro-abortion Sen. Kamala Harris, Biden’s running mate. In a slip that would amaze even Sigmund Freud, Harris first said, “A Harris administration, together with Joe Biden as the president of the United States,” only to quickly try to correct her faux pas by adding, “The Biden-Harris administration…”

In and of itself, her blunder was no big deal. But it does remind everyone that no one expects Biden to run for a second term, should he win a first, and how Harris could well be the de facto President if Biden’s inability to stay on point, let alone complete sentences, grows even worse. [Wouldn’t you know it? After I wrote this story, Joe Biden, talking today at a campaign event in Tampa, Florida, himself said, “A Harris-Biden administration is going to…”]

By the way, writing at National Review Online, Dan McLaughlin asks, “Are the Pollsters Wrong about Trump Again?”

With respect to the polls, he offers “three optimistic cases for Trump.” The second is “the current polls are premature, capturing only a snapshot, and we should expect things to tighten by Election Day.”

They are only a snapshot. This is always true of any poll, but never more so than in 2020. Add everything that has happened in the last 8 or 9 months, and this year’s presidential election is genuinely unique.

And all this before the three presidential debates. A reminder. The first 90 minute long debate takes place Tuesday, September 29, from 9-10:30 pm ES. A must view.

Categories: Joe Biden