NRL News

The latest developments 56 days out from the November 3 General Election

by | Sep 8, 2020

By Dave Andrusko

A heads-up for our readers. The September edition of National Right to Life News—the monthly compilation of all things pro-life—is in your in-boxes.

So, 56 days and counting until the most consequential presidential election of my adult life. What are some of the latest developments?

As we’ve discussed countless times, there are “battleground states”—competitive states which either pro-life President Donald Trump pro-abortion former Vice President Joe Biden can win and which will be instrumental in determining who will win this fall. One of those is Florida.

*One piece of news out of Florida came courtesy of the Miami Herald—no friend of the President’s. The Herald ran a story today under the headline, “Biden is struggling to win Miami Latinos, new poll finds. Will it cost him Florida?”

The nub of the story is right in the lead of David Smiley’s story:

Four years after getting trounced in Miami-Dade County by Hillary Clinton, President Donald Trump has increased his odds of victory in his must-win home state on Nov. 3 by improving his standing in Florida’s most populous county, according to a poll by Bendixen & Amandi International and the Miami Herald.

To be clear, the point is not that President Trump will carry this county but rather that Biden’s current advantage [17 points] would be far less than the difference by which Hillary Clinton defeated then-candidate Trump [30 points] in 2016. From the story

“If you’re the Biden campaign, looking at these numbers, I think there’s reason for pause,” said Fernand Amandi, the Miami-based pollster and Democratic strategist behind the poll. “If Biden under-performs in what should be one of his strongest counties — and is certainly the largest county for Democratic votes in the state of Florida — it might imperil his chances of winning Florida unless there is a massive white voter exodus from Trump in other parts of the state.”

*Another positive sign for President Trump. “Sets a new 2020 record for days in a row of POTUS’s approval being at or above 50%” in the Rasmussen Report. Twitter @SunshineSt8Sam adds something that is rarely pointed out: “POTUS continues to outperform Obama at this point in 2012.”

*We’ve discussed both how the enthusiasm of President Trump’s supporters far exceeds that of Mr. Biden’s. But how important is the abortion issue to their supporters.

Pew Research conducts ongoing surveys of what issues matter to registered voters [not likely voters]. Under the headline, “Important issues in the 2020 election,” we learn that 40% of registered voters say the abortion issue is “very important” to their vote. Pew adds, however, that “majorities” say abortion “will be at least somewhat important to them.” [Their emphasis.]

But how important is abortion to Trump and Biden supporters specifically ? According to Pew, abortion is “very important” to 35% of Biden supporters but 46% of Trump supporters.

This is not surprising. President Trump promised to be an active pro-life President and he has been! In addition, as we discuss at length in the September issue of NRL News, he has promised to be just as vigorous in a second term.

Categories: Polling