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Four days out from November 3rd. What do we know? Trump executing a brilliant pincer-like campaign

by | Oct 30, 2020

By Dave Andrusko

Like everyone else, I would have a lot to do this weekend. But, living in Northern Virginia, I think I’m going to drive four or five hours and attend one of President Trump’s Saturday rallies in Pennsylvania. Why? 

Simply because I have read about Trump rallies; I have watched them on television; I have talked to people who’ve attended them, but I have not been to one. 

From those who’ve joined thousands of other fans at one of his rallies, I know I will regret it if I don’t drive to Bucks County, Reading, Butler, or Montoursville, Pennsylvania tomorrow..

Why do I mention this? I was reading a post this morning written by the great Mollie Hemingway of The Federalist. She was explaining the five ways the media is attempting to rig the election in Joe Biden’s favor.  

Number three is “Hiding Trump’s Accomplishments and Enthusiasm.”

Pro-lifers don’t need to be reminded what the most pro-life President since Roe v. Wade has done for unborn babies and to protect the right of conscience. And they can share that by directing family and friends to the Special Election Issue of National Right to Life News that was sent to their email boxes this morning.

But, I suspect, even the most die-hard fan of the President could not do justice to how amped up his supporters are as he barnstorms across the country. Which leads to this important conclusion.

When “the pundits” try to figure out where they went wrong this time, there will be two complementary reasons.

First, it wasn’t as if such qualities as voter enthusiasm and voter registration and greater support from minority voters and a superior ground game and years of investment in what has become (to quote the Washington Post) “Trump’s viral megaphone fueled by [its]Twitter arm” was not in plain sight. They were. 

However, the Trump-hating media either brushed them off or rushed onto something that made Biden’s feeble campaign look better. Willfully blind.

Second, to quote from Mollie, while the media was busy suppressing all good news (for example, as Reuters reluctantly reported, “Gross domestic product probably rebounded at a 31% annualized rate last quarter, according to a Reuters survey of economists. That would be the fastest pace since the government started keeping records in 1947.”), ordinary citizens know better. No better example can be found than Gallup’s finding that a whopping 56% said they’re better off today than they were in 2016—or a series of surveys that found a consistent majority of respondents who think Mr. Trump will win, regardless of whether they intend to vote for him!

With that as a backdrop, on to today’s headlines….

*“The Rasmussen Reports daily Presidential Tracking Poll for Friday shows that 51% of Likely U.S. Voters approve of President Trump’s job performance. Forty-eight percent (48%) disapproveRasmussen Reports

*“How Trump Could Shock the World Again”Peter Nicholas

*“I believe it was prevalent [the “Shy” Trump voter]. In 2016, the worst being said about Trump voters is that they were ‘deplorable.’ 2020 is a whole different ballgame. It is worse this time—significantly worse. This year had more things where you can get punished for expressing an opinion outside the mainstream than almost any year I can think of in modern history”—Robert Cahaly, chief pollster for The Trafalgar Group.

“’We’ve got to stop the bleeding’: Democrats sound alarm in Miami”Marc Caputo and Matt Dixon

*“‘People Are Going To Be Shocked’: Return of the ‘Shy’ Trump Voter?”POLITICO

*“Big Media is actively at war with half of the American people and are desperately working to rig an election against them”—Mollie Hemingway

 *“The daily Rasmussen Reports poll that tracks black support for President Donald Trump shows the president sitting at 31 percent as of Thursday, just five days before the election”—John Nolte

Since there was a long introduction, there will be less analysis. While I do not know if support among Black Americans is as high as Rasmussen reports—or anywhere near—it is abundantly clear that the President is likely to get at least double the support (8%) he did in 2016. 

Likewise, as we have discussed on many occasions, Mr. Trump could well receive in the low-to-mid thirties of the vote of Hispanic Americans. (Hispanic friends tell me I am being cautious.)

Together, this could /should have a major impact in Pennsylvania, Florida, and Arizona, to name three battleground states.

What about the famous “shy” Trump voter? He/she is alive and well and growing in 2020. As noted in the quote from Robert Cahaly, the pressure not to tell a pollster you are voting for Trump—or do anything overt that signals you are—is extraordinary. In my opinion, this grim reality cannot be emphasized enough.

How can Trump “rock the world” by pulling off an upset? I’ve listed a number of them above. I would strongly emphasize that the time and energy and manpower and strategic thinking  the Trump campaign has put into cultivating social media is far greater that President Obama’s, whose efforts were widely hailed as a political breakthrough. (By the way, the Washington Post article I alluded to above is just another example that makes Hemingway’s point. Big Tech and Twitter, in particular, are doing their best to limit grassroots supporters of President Trump, but—the Post whines—not adequately. Why? Out of “deference to free speech.” You could not possibly write a bigger lie than that.)

And also the Trump ground game which is nothing short of astonishing.  Let me end with this passage from Peter Nicholas’s story:

Minnesota Democrats estimate that as many as 250,000 white residents who didn’t go to college—the heart of Trump’s base—weren’t registered to vote in 2016. Republicans are taking pains to find them. While Democrats in the state have largely suspended door-to-door campaigning because of the pandemic, Republicans have kept at it. Last week, volunteers knocked on more than 130,000 doors in the state, a campaign official told me. “This is the largest organization that we’ve seen a Republican put into this state, in terms of advertising dollars, principal visits, and staff on the ground,” Ken Martin, the chair of the Minnesota Democratic-Farmer-Labor Party, told me. “There’s no doubt that they have a significant operation here.”

On the one hand—an incredible viral outreach (social media). On the other hand –a massive door to door operation.

A pincer-like operation, if ever I’ve seen one.

Categories: Donald Trump