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VA governor’s race will be examined for early signs of trouble for Democrats in 2022

by | Oct 18, 2021

By Dave Andrusko

Here a dozy of “on the one hand, but on the other hand.”

Julian Zelizer, writing at CNN tell us

Many Democrats initially thought former Virginia Gov. Terry McAuliffe would have a relatively easy path to victory. But now he seems to be struggling with less than three weeks to go until Election Day.

Fair enough, right? Glenn Youngkin has made up a lot of ground and they are tied in the latest poll.

On the other hand, covering all his bases, Zelizer adds

History shows that off-year and special elections don’t necessarily reflect the state of national politics. When McAuliffe won Virginia’s gubernatorial race in 2013, for instance, that win was not indicative of the wreckage Democrats would suffer in the 2014 midterm election and the 2016 general election. It is dangerous to take the results of a gubernatorial or congressional election and draw conclusions about the country at large.


Clearly, McAuliffe is taking no chances. He is calling in former President Obama, getting a video from Vice President Kamala Harris to be shown in Black churches in 300 stories, defeated Georgia senatorial candidate Stacey Abrahams, and a roster of the usual Democrat luminaries.

What they have in common is that none of them live in Virginia. An honest assessment would include this as the race approaches November 2.


The heightened scrutiny surrounding the Virginia race is in large part due to the challenges President Joe Biden has faced in the past month. Sagging poll numbers and stalled legislation have raised concerns about the President’s standing, as well as the enthusiasm and support Democrats will be able to drum up going into the 2022 midterm elections. Whether the assumption is accurate or not, plenty of pundits and political analysts will see the Virginia race as a barometer of the Democratic Party’s standing.

Stay tuned.

Categories: Politics