By Dave Andrusko
When even NBC’s Chuck Todd is alarmed, the Democrat party must be in serious trouble. We knew that pro-life Glenn Youngkin’s victory in Virginia would set off alarm bells, but it took digging into the grim numbers (for Democrats) to grasp the depth of the hole pro-abortion Democrats have dug themselves into.
The widening deficit for Democrats is as simple to see as it is difficult to repair. Here are the bottom line conclusions—long in development but made crystal-clear last Tuesday—from “Democratic struggle with rural and white voters hurt them Tuesday night”: ”But there’s an even more troubling takeaway for Democrats now that the dust has settled on Tuesday’s results: They’re losing white voters, rural voters and voters without college degrees by such large margins that it makes winning elections hard.
Todd writes
In Virginia, white men made up 36 percent of the electorate, according to the exit poll, and they broke for Republican Glenn Youngkin over Democrat Terry McAuliffe by a 2-to-1 margin, 66 percent to 34 percent. (In 2017’s gubernatorial contest, it was 63 percent to 36 percent.)
Whites without a college degree, representing 36 percent of voters, went for Youngkin, 76 percent to 24 percent. (In 2017, it was 72 percent to 26 percent.)
And this hides the biggest takeaway of all. The famous “gender gap” is always the Republicans’ failure with women, but Youngkin buried McAuliffe among white women.
White women, who made up 38 percent of voters in Virginia, sided with Youngkin by 14 points, 57 percent to 43 percent. (In 2017, it was just by 3 points, 51 percent to 48 percent.)
Todd then goes through the job approval numbers for President Biden. They are awful for white men and women, but especially for white men without college degrees: “20 percent approve, 78 percent disapprove (-58).”
Todd pulls no punches:
If you are losing 36 percent of all voters [men] by a 76 percent-to-24 percent margin, it means you have to win 65 percent of all other voters to get to 50 percent-plus one.
And as Tuesday showed, that is a tall order.