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What are the President’s job approval numbers telling us?

by | Feb 1, 2022

By Dave Andrusko

Looking at a bevy of recent polls, according to Real Clear Politics, President Biden is “underwater (the difference between approval and disapproval) by an average of -13 points. If you subtract Reuters figures—because they inevitably tilt in the President’s favor—his average is -15.

Let’s start with the Monmouth University Polling Institute which has President Biden at -17: 38% approve, 55% disapprove.

Their recent poll is largely about the slight advantage Republicans hold over Democrats and adds an important ingredient.

Another warning sign for the party in power is a shift in self-reported partisan affiliation. Currently, 26% of American adults identify themselves as Democrats, a number that ranged from 30% to 34% in Monmouth polling throughout last year. Republican identifiers currently stand at 31% of the population, which is up from a range of 23% to 27% in 2021. Moreover, when these numbers are combined with independents who say they lean toward either party, Republicans (51%) have a decided advantage over Democrats (41%). {Emphasis added.}

A ten-point advantage. Wow!

How about President Biden?

Biden currently holds a job performance rating of 39% approve and 54% disapprove. This marks another downward tick since his net job rating crossed into negative territory at the end of last year.

Rasmussen, for all the criticism it receives, is the only polling firm that tracks President Biden’s job approval ratings on a daily basis. The numbers are astonishingly bad.

First, “39% of Likely U.S. Voters approve of President Biden’s job performance. Fifty-nine percent (59%) disapprove.”

“The latest figures include 19% who Strongly Approve of the job Biden is doing and 49% who Strongly Disapprove. This gives him a Presidential Approval Index rating of -30.”

As an aside, but an important aside. CNBC News reports

  • Republican-led super PACs outraised their Democratic rivals in the latter half of last year, giving them more financial firepower ahead of this year’s congressional midterm elections.
  • The Republican-affiliated Senate Leadership Fund and Congressional Leadership Fund raised over $90 million combined in the back half of 2021, according to Federal Election Commission records.
  • On the Democratic side, the House Majority PAC and Senate Majority PAC raised a total of over $65 million and had a combined $70 million-plus on hand, records show.
  • The GOP’s fundraising success represents another hurdle for Democratic leaders and candidates
Categories: Joe Biden