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NY Times poll is optimistic about Democrats’ chances in mid-term election yet concedes “fundamentals” are “challenging”

by | Sep 16, 2022

Biden approval rating a bleak 42%

By Dave Andrusko

When you are as much underwater in approval ratings as is President Biden, you take any good news as a sign of revival. Needless to say, it helps to have a compliant, supportive media.

Take today’s New York Times’ story, “Democrats Buoyed by Abortion and Trump, Times/Siena Poll Find.” How is the party of abortion buoyed, specifically?

Well….Lisa Lerer and Nate Cohn tell us the generic vote—which party would people vote for without specifying candidates—has improved for Democrats. Democrats lead 46% to 44%, well within the margin of error.

And the New York Times/Siena College poll shows more Democrats approving of the president’s performance and more optimistic about the country’s direction.


[T]he fundamentals of the race — high inflation, an uncertain economy and an unpopular president — remain challenging for Democrats. The national mood, while brighter than earlier in the summer, remains gloomy. Republicans still score higher on some social issues, including illegal immigration. And the president’s approval rating is still just 42 percent — as weak as or weaker than the ratings of every president whose party went on to lose control of Congress in midterm elections, going back to 1978.


The electorate remains deeply divided along the demographic fault lines of the last election, with Democrats leading among white college graduates, young voters and nonwhite voters; Republicans hold a commanding lead among white voters without a college degree. As in the July Times/Siena survey, Republicans show even greater strength among white voters without a degree than they did in 2020, with an overwhelming 61-to-29-percent lead among that group.

The state of the economy is still overwhelmingly the issue that ranks number one. And that is still an anchor about the ankles of Democrats:

[V]oters trust the Republicans more on the economy by a 14-point margin, 52 to 38 percent. And they say that economic issues will matter more to their vote than do societal issues by an 18-point margin.

As we’ve written time and time again, the polls will fluctuate week by week even day by day. Let’s be sure pro-lifers go to the polls on November 8 in record numbers

Categories: Politics