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Biden’s approval numbers sink to lowest ever

by | Apr 29, 2024

By Dave Andrusko

The latest CNN poll is so bad for pro-abortion Joe Biden and so good for pro-life former President Donald Trump that you only imagine the tremors it sent through the Biden camp. Here’s a down and dirty summary, followed by a complete breakdown. The summary is from Byron York

New CNN national poll: Trump over Biden 49-43 in 2-way race, 42-33 in 5-way race. 55% say Trump’s presidency was a success, while 44% say it was a failure. 61% say Biden’s presidency has been a failure, 39% a success.

Momentarily we will also look at latest Gallup Poll which in some ways is even worse for President Biden. The headline is “Biden’s 13th-Quarter Approval Average Lowest Historically: Averages 38.7% job approva.l”

Back to the CNN poll. Jennifer Agiesta, CNN Polling Director, tries to softens the blow, but Guy Benson will have none of that:

Horror show of a CNN poll for Biden. Trump ahead outside the margin of error, up even bigger w/ expanded field.  Majorities see Biden’s presidency as a failure & Trump’s as a success. 60% disapproval for the incumbent.

According to CNN’s Agiesta

Negative views of Biden’s work in office have held for much of his presidency. In the new poll, 60% disapprove of his handling of the job and 40% approve, about the same as it’s been in CNN polling for more than a year. Even Biden’s strongest issue approval ratings in the poll are also in negative territory, with 45% approving of his handling of health care policy and 44% approving his handling of student loan debt. And his worst issue approval rating  – for his handling of the war between Israel and Hamas in Gaza – yields 28% approval to 71% disapproval, including an 81% disapproval mark among those younger than 35 and majority disapproval among Democrats (53%).

What about the economy?

Biden’s approval ratings for the economy (34%) and inflation (29%) remain starkly negative, as voters say economic concerns are more important to them when choosing a candidate than they were in each of the past two presidential contests. In the new poll, 65% of registered voters call the economy extremely important to their vote for president, compared with 40% who felt that way in early 2020 and 46% who said the same at roughly this point in 2016. Those voters who say the economy is deeply important break heavily for Trump in a matchup against Biden, 62% to 30%.

Let’s get back to Gallup. First, its opening paragraph

WASHINGTON, D.C. — President Joe Biden averaged 38.7% job approval during his recently completed 13th quarter in office, which began on Jan. 20 and ended April 19. None of the other nine presidents elected to their first term since Dwight Eisenhower had a lower 13th-quarter average than Biden.

and then its “Bottom Line”:

With about six months remaining before Election Day, Biden stands in a weaker position than any prior incumbent, and thus faces a taller task than they did in getting reelected.

We’ve examined President Biden’s faltering numbers for well over a year. On his best days he garners in the low 40s. On his worst day—see latest Gallup and CNN numbers—President Biden’s job approval numbers hover in the mid-to-high 30s.

One other important survey, analyzed by NBC’s election analyst Steve Kornacki. Midway through his interview on “Meet the Press,” moderator Kristen Welker says, “And I stop here because competent and effective, that was President Biden’s, the crux of his campaign pitch back in 2020.”

KORNACKI: And we actually polled this question in 2020, and it was basically the exact opposite. It was Biden with about a ten-point advantage over Trump and, again, same with handling of crisis. Biden had the edge over Trump.

 

And how about this? It’s the former president vs. the current president. We don’t really see matchups like this. Well, now we can measure it. Who has the strongest record as president? And, again, Trump outpacing Biden on that front. And, again, you’ve got to mention this one, too. “Necessary mental and physical health.” We asked this four years ago, it was a wash. It’s now a clear liability for Joe Biden.

 

So these are all troubling numbers for Biden, but it’s not to say there aren’t warning signs for Donald Trump in this poll either.

Always in the background  but increasingly in the foreground are concerns about President Biden’s capacity to continue. Pew Research found poll

More than a third of voters say they are extremely or very confident that Trump has the physical fitness (36%) and mental fitness (38%) needed to do the job of president.

 

Far fewer say the same of Biden (15% are at least very confident in his physical fitness; 21% are extremely or very confident in his mental fitness). Majorities say they are not too or not at all confident in Biden’s physical and mental fitness.

Pew also did a demographic breakout:

  • White voters favor Trump (56%) over Biden (42%) by a wide margin.
  • Roughly three-quarters of Black voters (77%) support Biden, while 18% back Trump.
  • Hispanic voters are more evenly divided – 52% favor Biden, while 44% back Trump.
  • Asian voters favor Biden (59%) over Trump (36%).

In light of all this, it’ll be very, very interesting to see what the Democrat Party does going forward.

Categories: Joe Biden