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CNN survey finds astonishing gains by Trump since 2021

by | May 16, 2024

By Dave Andrusko

As we talked about on several occasions, the ruckus stirred by Nate Cohn’s column in the New York Times, headlined  “Trump Leads in 5 Key States, as Young and Nonwhite Voters Express Discontent With Biden” bordered on hysteria. And that is perfectly understandable.

Cohn, the New York Times’s widely respected chief political analyst, wasted no time getting to the ominous results:

Donald J. Trump leads President Biden in five crucial battleground states, a new set of polls shows, as a yearning for change and discontent over the economy and the war in Gaza among young, Black and Hispanic voters threaten to unravel the president’s Democratic coalition.

 

The surveys by The New York Times, Siena College and The Philadelphia Inquirer found that Mr. Trump was ahead among registered voters in a head-to-head matchup against Mr. Biden in five of six key states: Michigan, Arizona, Nevada, Georgia and Pennsylvania. Mr. Biden led among registered voters in only one battleground state, Wisconsin.

I would like to turn today to a story written yesterday by CNN’s Ronald Brownstein. The headline touches on a something we’ve written about repeatedly: “Biden’s growing challenge: Voters are warming to Trump’s presidency.”

Here’s his first two paragraphs:

During Donald Trump’s four years in the White House, he was famously the only president whose job approval rating never reached 50% in Gallup Organization polls since the firm began systematically tracking that measure in the 1940s.

 

But now more positive retrospective assessments of Trump’s record in office are setting off warning flares for Democrats — especially as President Joe Biden’s own approval ratings remain stuck at historically low levels. In a CNN poll from April, 55% of Americans said they considered Trump’s presidency a success — a big jump from the 41% who viewed his presidency so positively when he left office in January 2021, according to a CNN survey from the time.

But what is really intriguing and something I has missed altogether was where pro-life former President Trump had made astonishing gains. Brownstein writes

The April national CNN survey conducted by SRSS reported some of the most dramatic change in attitudes. From the 2021 CNN survey until last month’s poll, the share of people who termed Trump’s presidency a success increased more for women than for men; more for people of color than for White voters; more among working-age adults than seniors; and more among Democratic voters than Republican. The 55% in the recent CNN poll who termed Trump’s presidency a success far exceeded the 39% who gave the same positive verdict to Biden’s time. [Underlining added.]

Incredible but it is indicative of Trump’s strengths and Biden’s weaknesses.

Categories: Donald Trump