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May Reuters/Ipsos poll shows Biden’s approval rating at 36%, lowest level of his presidency 

by | Jun 4, 2024

By Dave Andrusko

For the moment, there does not appear that the pro-abortion Biden campaign has gained virtually anything from  pro-life former President Donald Trump’s conviction on 34 counts of falsification of business records in the first degree, which, in New York, is a felony. Mr. Trump angrily denied the charges, vowed an appeal, and promised to campaign harder than ever.  He will be sentenced on July 11, seven days after Independence Day, and four days before the Republican National Convention in Milwaukee.

One index was highlighted by Tom Bevan of Real Clear Politics. He posted Morning Consult ballot test numbers over last month:

  • 5/3-5: Trump 44, Biden 43
  • 5/10-12: Trump 44, Biden 43
  • 5/17-19: Trump 44, Biden 43
  • 5/26-28: Trump 44, Biden 42
  • 5/31: Biden 45, Trump 44
  • 5/31-6/2: Trump 44, Biden 43

 

The following may be of much more significance. Reuters—another news organization not exactly enamored with Mr. Trump—ran a story last Friday under the headline “Biden’s big weakness vs. Trump: Voters without college degrees.”

Americans without college degrees made up three out of five voters in the last presidential election.

Jason Lange’s and James Oliphant’s opening paragraph tell you the Biden campaign bus is leaking oil:

President Joe Biden is hemorrhaging support among voters without college degrees – a large group that includes Black people, Hispanic women, young voters and suburban women – producing a far tighter rematch against his Republican predecessor Donald Trump than seen in 2020.

A rather odd statement, wouldn’t you say? If this “large group includes Black people, Hispanic women, young voters and suburban women,” Biden is in enormous trouble.

Don’t forget, as we wont to do, that to quote Ruy Teixeira

Across the battleground, Biden is losing to Trump among working-class voters by 16 points. That compares to Biden’s national working-class deficit of just 4 points in 2020.

The “battleground” refers to the six highly competitive states (“swing states”) which will decide the election.

Or, as Timoth Noah observes,

For the past 100 years, no Democrat—with one exception—has ever entered the White House without winning a majority of the working-class vote, defined conventionally as those voters who possess a high school degree but no college degree. The exception was Joe Biden in 2020, under highly unusual circumstances (a badly-mismanaged Covid pandemic, an economy going haywire). It’s unlikely in the extreme that Biden can manage that trick a second time. He must win the working-class vote in 2024.

Back to  Lange  and Oliphant… They write

“A May Reuters/Ipsos poll showed Biden’s approval rating falling to the lowest level of his presidency at 36% with just over five months to go to the election. Worries about the economy have some past Biden voters saying they are ready to at least consider voting for Trump.”

Finally, what takeaway do you have from this?

The few bright spots for Biden remain voters with college degrees or households earning more than $100,000 a year, the analysis found.

More tomorrow.

Categories: Politics