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With approval rating at all-time low, pollster suggests it may be time for Biden to drop out

by | Jun 11, 2024

By Dave Andrusko

Pro-abortion President Joe Biden
Photo: Gage Skidmore

It’s one thing for pro-abortion President Joe Biden to hit his all-time approval low—37.4%—and quite another to have Nate Silver advise him to drop out! Silver, who founded FiveThirtyEight before leaving in 2023, is one of the country’s premier numbers-cruncher and political analysists.

“Dropping out would be a big risk,” Silver tweeted. “But there’s some threshold below which continuing to run is a bigger risk. Are we there yet? I don’t know. But it’s more than fair to ask.”

Silver added, “What’s clearer IMO is that Democrats would have been better served if Biden had decided a year ago not to seek a second term, which would have allowed them to have some semblance of a primary process and give voters a say among the many popular Democrats across the country.”

“Silver caused a stir in February when he argued there might be Democrats who are better equipped to take on the 77-year-old former president,” Victor Nava reported for the New York Post.

Nava quoted extensively from a post Silver ran last month.

Silver noted that Biden is in “MUCH worse shape,” in terms of polling, than he was in 2020 heading into Election Day, when he held leads in the swing states of Arizona, Florida Georgia, Michigan, Nevada, North Carolina, Pennsylvania and Wisconsin. 


Several recent surveys show Trump ahead of Biden in all of those states

Biden’s age and his extremely unsteady performance in public settings have even Democrats beginning to turn away. Nava writes

Silver suggested Biden’s age may be to blame for his lackluster support, calling it an “extremely understandable concern” for voters. 


“Biden’s age is something voters are overwhelmingly consistent about mentioning in polls,” he said. “The concern has persisted through various phases of media vibes.”


“The side-by-side video comparisons of Biden now vs. e.g. 2012 are also extremely revealing,” Silver continued. “There’s been an obvious change.” 


“I think it’s borderline gaslighting to imply it’s just a media/vibes thing.”

Categories: Joe Biden
Tags: Joe Biden