By Dave Andrusko
Those who are head over heels in love with Vice President Kamala Harris would expect—demand, even—that the woman soon to be formally nominated as the Democrats’ replacement for President Joe Biden be the media’s darling.
And Harris is. The embrace is so tight, she’ll need foam padding to protect her ribs.
Her candidacy is described as “Historic.” She is a progressive’s progressive with a “growing grassroots army,” a boatload of money, the first this, the first that, a woman who “would shatter the highest glass ceiling in all of American life,” to quote NBC News.
This has been rightly described as “riding a historic sugar high.”
But if you look at the basics, while they are for the most part slightly better than they were for President Biden, you get a much different takeaway.
In a Confidential Memorandum written on July 23 by Trump pollster Tony Fabrizio, he reminds them of what Fabrizio called the “Harris Honeymoon”:
As I’ve explained, the honeymoon will be a manifestation of the wall-to-wall coverage Harris receives from the MSM. The coverage will be largely positive and will certainly energize Democrats and some other parts of their coalition at least in the short term. That means we will start to see public polling – particularly national public polls – where Harris is gaining on or even leading President Trump. …
The Democrats and the [mainstream media] will try and tout these polls as proof that the race has changed. But the fundamentals of the race stay the same. …
Before long, Harris’ ‘honeymoon’ will end and voters will refocus on her role as Biden’s partner and co-pilot…
So, while the public polls may change in the short run and she may consolidate a bit more of the Democrat base, Harris can’t change who she is or what she’s done. Stay tuned…
Here are some more “basics.”
“This Is Peak Kamala: Downhill From Here?” asks HotAir’s Ed Morrisey.
We know that Harris is not popular. As of July 23, the average of her approval numbers was a dismal 37.8%.
We know that she is out of the mainstream on a multitude of issues, which are not our issues but will weigh her down with the public once those positions are brought out into the open.
We know that she is a liberal’s liberal. Morrissey writes
That earned her the GovTrack’s designation as the most liberal Senator of her time (which hasn’t been memory-holed as first reported). The media may ignore or spin these radical positions but they are not erasable, as Harris was very glib about pushing them on camera.
Alex Castellanos’ prediction is by far the safest bet — as America gets to know Harris, they’ll like her less and less, especially in swing states not dominated by the Academia proto-Marxist elitist bubble.
Harris will paddle furiously to change her image, or perhaps not. It’s who she is, it’s what she does. She is not only a fanatic on abortion, Harris is to the left even of her own party.
One other basic: “Forget the Hype: It’s Still a Working-Class Election: And that’s still a big problem for the Democrats”.
We’ve learned from and written about Ruy Teixeira on a couple of occasions. His overall point is that Trump had a huge advantage over Biden among non-college educated whites and an even bigger advantage over Harris. Democrats do enjoy an advantage but a much lower advantage “among nonwhite working-class voters,” Teixeira writes.
“It is difficult to see how Harris prevails without strong progress on this front.”
More on Monday.
