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Crucial week for pro-abortion President Biden as he attempts to convince voters he is up to the job

by | Jul 8, 2024

By Dave Andrusko

Taking off July 4 and 5 means we haven’t posted for five days. The crescendo of criticism for pro-abortion President Joe Biden’s awful performance at the June 27 debate shows no sign of quieting. At the same time, the Biden family and his inner circle appear determined to wait it out, thinking that his post-debate schedule of events will overshadow his debate with pro-life President Donald Trump.

However, there is no evidence that the tide of calls for President Biden to announce he will not run again has abated. If anything, it has mounted as has the Biden family’s reported insistence that he not withdraw. Here’s an overview of everything that’s transpired.

This morning Biden called into the “Morning Joe” program. According to Michael D. Shear of the New York Times

President Biden on Monday dared his critics to “challenge me at the convention” if they want him out of the presidential race, refusing to step aside in a defiant letter to Democratic members of Congress and in fiery remarks on MSNBC’s “Morning Joe” program.

Declaring himself “frustrated by the elites” who have called for his exit from the race, Mr. Biden engaged in an offensive blitz aimed at saving his candidacy. But it also laid bare the fractures in his party over whether his position as the Democratic standard-bearer will help or hurt its fortunes this fall.

Here’s an overview of everything that’s transpired.

*The polls. “Trump Widens Lead After Biden’s Debate Debacle, Times/Siena Poll Finds,” is the headline of an extremely influential July 3 New York Times story. “Donald Trump is ahead of President Biden by six percentage points among likely voters in a new national survey,” Shane Goldmacher writes. (Trump’s advantage among registered voters jumped to nine points).

“Overall, 74 percent of voters view Mr. Biden as too old for the job, an uptick [of five points] since the debate.”

*Party defections. By the time you read this story, there will be additional congressional Democrats, governors, and party insiders either calling or demanding that Biden announce he will not run again.

“Four senior House Democrats called on President Joe Biden to step aside during a private call with Minority Leader Hakeem Jeffries (D., N.Y.) on Sunday,” National Review reported. “Representatives Jerry Nadler (D., N.Y.), Joe Morelle (D., N.Y.), Adam Smith (D., Wash.), and Mark Takano (D., Calif.) forcefully urged Biden to drop out of the race during the two-hour call, sources with knowledge of the private discussion told Politico and other media outlets,” according to David Zimmerman.

“The four lawmakers join the ranks of five other House Democrats who publicly called on Biden to withdraw within the past week.”

*The media. If the media were honest with us (and themselves), they would own up to their own conspiracy of silence. President Biden is not up to another term, something reporters and columnists are now admitting they suspected as far back as the 2020 campaign.

E.J. Dionne Jr., as partisan a Democratic columnist as you will ever find, confessed on Sunday in the Washington Post that he had missed the boat. After writing column after column insisting that Biden could and would stay the course, Dionne acknowledged

One of the hardest things — for the president, for those around him and for the many who believed he was still the country’s best option — is to acknowledge that those who worried about the effect of Biden’s age on his capacities may have been right all along.

This morning’s Washington Post signaled this may be a do or die week for President Biden [https://www.washingtonpost.com/politics/2024/07/08/crucial-week-biden]:

This will undoubtedly be a crucial week for President Biden as pressure builds on him to drop his reelection effort even as he and his campaign insist that he’s not going anywhere.

 

The House and Senate are back in town today and members will be able to talk to one another in person for the first time since Biden’s poor debate performance 11 days ago.

 

The uncertainty about Biden has riled the caucus as lawmakers have been back home in their districts, talking to donors and voters.

*Media advice. As you would expect, while there are still stalwarts holding out hope for a Biden comeback, most reporters/editorial pages/ commentators are coming to the conclusion Biden should step aside. (Suddenly, pro-abortion Vice President Kamala Harris, almost universally dismissed as a lightweight, is receiving a bevy of admiring praise.)

Aside from the disastrous debate, follow up interview with George Stephanopoulos, and a long string of embarrassing verbal flubs, what accounts for Biden’s dismal 36%-39% approval rating?

To state the obvious, Biden’s age which has cost him support even among his strongest supporters. The economy, of course, particularly the day to day impact of inflation. As Goldmacher reports

The economy and inflation were the top issues for voters in the Times/Siena surveys both before and after the debate, and Mr. Trump is winning voters who prioritize those issues overwhelmingly.

 

Also, by a wide margin, voters look back more fondly on Mr. Trump’s time in office than Mr. Biden’s. Just 34 percent said Mr. Biden made the country better, while 47 percent said the same about Mr. Trump’s tenure. And for almost every demographic group, more voters said Mr. Biden had made the country worse rather than better. Black voters were the biggest exception.

 

A majority of voters, 50 percent to 39 percent, said Mr. Trump would best handle whatever issue they felt was the most important one facing the country. …

 

In the pre-debate poll, Mr. Trump had led among likely male voters by 12 percentage points. After the debate, his lead among men ballooned to 23 points. That movement was particularly concentrated among younger men and men without college degrees.

Finally, Biden’s attempt to make this election about Trump’s alleged extremism has failed. (Biden is never talked about in those terms, although on abortion he is an extremist in anybody’s book). If the public is convinced that Trump is “so unpalatable” the reasoning goes “voters uneasy with the incumbent would vote for him anyway.” But…

But now Mr. Biden is stuck in a political tailspin, with an abysmal debate performance highlighting his inability to make a case against Mr. Trump and prompting a collective national hand-wringing about his ability to do his job while an increasing number of House Democrats say he should leave the race.

 

To get voters to focus on the threats posed by a second Trump administration, Mr. Biden’s own allies say he first must escape his current doom loop and convince voters — even and especially fellow Democrats — that he is up to the job himself.

More tomorrow.

Categories: Joe Biden
Tags: Joe Biden