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Trump ahead of Harris in swing state of Georgia by 5 points

Jul 22, 2024

By Dave Andrusko

Earlier today pro-abortion former House Speaker Nancy Pelosi, a powerful force within the Democrat Party, joined a growing number of Democrats who have endorsed pro-abortion Kamala Harris to be their party’s presidential nominee.

“Today, it is with immense pride and limitless optimism for our country’s future that I endorse Vice President Kamala Harris for President of the United States,” Pelosi said. “My enthusiastic support for Kamala Harris for President is official, personal and political.”

We’ll see how support for Harris translates into votes. The New York Post tells us today that “Harris trails Trump by 4.6 points in Georgia — underperforms with women, non-black minorities.”

“Trump would take 50.5% of the vote to Harris’ 45.9%, the Atlanta Journal-Constitution found,” Steven Nelson reported. “The Republican also widened what was a 3.5% lead over Biden in the same poll — with women and non-white minorities contributing to Harris’ slightly worse performance.”

Nelson wrote that “Among non-black racial minorities such as Asians and Latinos, who make up nearly one in 10 respondents, Trump went from an 8.2% edge against Biden to a 12% lead against Harris — a swing of 3.8 points.”

Among white voters, who comprised almost two-thirds of respondents in the swing state of Georgia, “Trump had a 44.3% edge [over Harris], versus his 43.2-point lead over Biden,” Nelson added.

Meanwhile, in the pivotal Michigan, a poll taken for the Detroit Free Press ahead of Biden decision not to run for a second term but updated “showed former President Donald Trump with a notable 7-percentage-point lead over incumbent President Joe Biden in the state which was released Sunday just hours before Biden, beset by questions about his age and fitness, abandoned his reelection bid,” Todd Spangler reported.

“It was not known if the poll played any role in Biden’s decision to step down as the Democratic Party’s nominee and endorse Vice President Kamala Harris to replace him. But without question, it added to the drumbeat of bad news for the Biden campaign in Michigan and other battleground states that had some Democrats skeptical of his chances of beating Trump and calling on him to step aside.”

Trump  “more than doubled his lead in Michigan, a pivotal swing state, since EPIC-MRA’s last poll, done just before the June 27 presidential debate in Atlanta,” Spangler wrote. “In that poll, Trump led by 3 points in the head-to-head matchup.”

Trump “led in every region of the state, including in metro Detroit — defined as Macomb, Oakland and Wayne counties and seen as the most predominantly Democratic region in Michigan — where he held a slim but remarkable 46%-44% edge in the head-to-head matchup with Biden and a 43%-38% margin in the five-way race,” Spengler wrote.

What does that tell us about Harris v. Trump? There will no doubt be subsequent polling and you have to wonder if Harris will be able to cut into Trump’s margins. For the moment Republicans are celebrating Trump’s appeal  among men  [47% to 31%], Independents [33% for Trump, 27% for Biden and 22% for a third-party candidates] and “Voters with some college or post-high school education” [Trump led Biden 44%-31%].

Categories: Donald Trump