By Dave Andrusko
“Harris has been so light on detail that even her supporters can’t agree whether she is proposing price controls. As the RGA [Republican Governors Association] statement noted, her campaign website doesn’t even have a policy page. When her convention speech turned to policy, she gave us destinations instead of a route: She promised to “end America’s housing shortage” but didn’t say how– Ramesh Ponnuru
5 looming challenges for Vice President Harris– Niall Stanage
Rove: Harris trailing Biden, Clinton at this point in campaigns– Lauren Sforza
Do these headlines tell us anything useful about the presidential race between former President Donald Trump and pro-abortion Vice President Kamala Harris? I think so, and I will present my case.
While also criticizing President Trump for his lack of specificity, Ramesh Ponnuru just obliterates Vice President Harris. You can’t blame her for having a campaign website that doesn’t even have a policy page. What’s to gain? She’d have to defend policies that have next to no popular support. Meanwhile the Legacy Media periodically grumbles but does not demand that she give an extended interview, unlike Trump who is virtually always available regardless of how hostile he knows the interviewer will be.
What are the “five looming challenges” for Harris? Well, they include how she fares in the debate; whether she sinks or swims when she finally gives first real interview; “How to explain her shifts in position”; how she will finagle the “attack ads” [which for the most part are using Harris’s own words against her]; and “One of the big, overarching questions of Harris’s campaign is whether she can capture the center ground — or whether she is vulnerable to the GOP attack that she is so progressive as to be out of step with the American mainstream.”
Finally, what does Karl Rove mean when he says “Harris trailing Biden, Clinton at this point in campaigns.” This very keen point has surfaced often in the last week or two.
Harris is ahead by two or three points nationally and is trailing ever so slightly in a majority of “battleground states” where the election will be decided.
Rove told Fox News, “On this day in 2020, Joe Biden was up 7.1 percent above Donald Trump in the Real Clear Politics average. And at this point in 2016, Hillary Clinton was up 6.3 and as you remember, the election came down to a handful of votes in a handful of states.”
Patrick Healy, Deputy Opinion Editor for the New York Times, points out
Harris has won the vast majority of news cycles since she declared her candidacy. And yet, she is only two or three percentage points ahead of Trump in the national polling average and effectively tied with him in the seven swing states that will decide the election. Structural factors — polarization, the gender gap, Republicans’ advantage in the Electoral College — are keeping this race tight.
The real wild card is Robert F. Kennedy, Jr. The usual suspects will crucify him but he has an appeal that cannot be extinguished by even the harshest criticism and boatloads of snark.
Douglas MacKinnon is a great admirer of Mr. Kennedy. He asks the question, “Will RFK Jr.’s endorsement swing the election to Trump?” It would not take much, he suggests, but whether Trump secures enough of RFK’s voters is still an unknown.
But what MacKinnon does think is clearly true is this:
For a multitude of reasons, Kennedy may be the best person to grab their attention and convince a number to either cast their vote for Trump or switch their vote from Harris. Even a 1 percent swing in Trump’s favor could make all the difference in states such as Arizona, Nevada, Pennsylvania, Wisconsin, Michigan and North Carolina.
For us political junkies, the next few weeks will be hard to match.
