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40 days until the November 5 elections. What’s new and what might that tell us?

Sep 26, 2024

By Dave Andrusko

What’s new includes pro-abortion Vice President Kamala Harris’ disastrous interview with a woman who pitched her softball question underhanded and what passes for Harris’s economic plan–which is not within our single-issue purview–delivered earlier in the day. I’ll address the latter because even CNN’s Daniel Dale’s “Fact check” conceded Harris makes false claim about Trump’s record on manufacturing jobs” Harris-trumps-manufacturing-jobs/index.html.

 Suffice it to say that Stephanie Ruhle called out a blatant lie that Harris now (and Joe Biden previously) keep peddling)—the number of jobs former President Trump lost as opposed to Biden-Harris.

Ruhle pointed to polls that show people believe that Trump would better handle the economy to which Harris answered, “Well, here’s what I know in terms of the facts. Donald Trump left us with the worst economy since the Great Depression, when you look at, for example, the employment numbers.”

Dale then wrote

“After Ruhle interjected by saying it was the impact of the Covid-19 pandemic that made the employment numbers bad, Harris continued, “Even before the pandemic, he lost manufacturing jobs – by most people’s estimates, at least 200,000.”

Dale then said of this lie

Facts First: Harris’ claim is false. Trump presided over a gain of 414,000 US manufacturing jobs, not a loss of “at least 200,000,” before the Covid-19 pandemic hit.

CNN’s Scott Jennings hit on a truth that Harris would do anything to neutralize: “[Kamala’s] got a major problem — it’s Joe Biden, and the fact she’s his Vice President. In our CNN survey yesterday, 51% of registered voters said that Trump had a successful presidency, only 37% said the same about Biden and Harris.”

As numerous shrewd observers have commented, people differentiate between their approval of Trump personally (which is improving) and the way they remember his success as president—a whopping14 point lead over Biden-Harris.

Finally, under the headline, “Is This the Best Poll for Trump Yet?,” Guy Benson digs into the public’s support for Trump’s presidency [https://townhall.com/tipsheet/guybenson/2024/09/26/is-this-the-best-poll-for-trump-yet-n2645256]:

The public believes the country is on the wrong track and views the Biden-Harris administration as a failure.  The retrospective question above, and Trump’s 14-point lead on it, is significant.  And it’s why Harris surrogates and spokespeople are ducking the same core question she did at the debate:

Benson argues

The priority for Team Trump is to underscore that Harris is a continuation of the Biden administration, while raising fair concerns about her even more radical ideas she’s espoused.  Which brings us to this Gallup poll, which could arguably be one of the best surveys Republicans have gotten all cycle.  We recently covered Gallup’s movement on Trump and Harris’ respective favorability ratings, but this is a different question.

And what is that question? The graph reproduced below:

“Gallup: First time Republicans have led on Party ID in Q3 of presidential year”:

Benson concludes

We don’t know if this pattern will hold for the fifth consecutive cycle, but if it even comes close to doing so, there’s a very strong chance Donald Trump will be elected.  

More tomorrow.

Categories: Politics