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56 days until the November 5 elections. What’s new and what do we know?

Sep 10, 2024

By Dave Andrusko

According to Fox News

Vice President Harris finally added policies to her campaign website for the first time since President Biden dropped out of the race and endorsed her in the presidential race 50 days ago. 

Well, we wouldn’t want our pro-abortion Vice President to be too hasty, right? And I’m sure waiting until Sunday–two days before her debate with pro-life President Donald Trump– to finally add substance to her campaign website was just a coincidence.

Pro-life Vice Presidential nominee Sen. JD Vance responded on “X” [formerly Twitter]

It has been 50 days since Kamala Harris became the presumptive nominee of the Democratic Party. In the dead of night yesterday, she finally released her campaign policy page.

In eight sections, Vance then systematically took the various policy proposals apart

The man is sharp.

Prior to Monday’s New York Times/Sienna poll, Harris had a razor thin lead in national polls. The New York Times/Sienna poll had Trump up by one point. However, what is likely is that the battleground states will decide the outcome.

Politico’s Steven Shepard writes

Moreover, the race is also extremely competitive in the battleground states. In three major polling averages — RealClearPoliticsFiveThirtyEight and Nate Silver’s Silver Bulletin, which each use different methodologies — each of the seven states both campaigns are contesting are within 3 points in either direction. Harris’ largest lead is in Wisconsin (2.7 points in the FiveThirtyEight average), while Trump’s biggest advantage is in Arizona (2.1 points in the Silver Bulletin average).

This is little doubt that Harris’s post-convention surge has stalled. There is much debate, however, whether she can stop the Trump surge and regain the momentum.

Yesterday we wrote about an immensely important development.

In September 2020 in the New York Times/Sienna poll, Trump snared just 7% of Black voters and 31% of Hispanic voters.

By contrast, in September 2024, in another New York Times/Sienna poll, Trump increased his share to 17% of Black voters and 42% of Hispanic voters!

One other point very much worth considering as we are now just 56 days out from the November 5 elections. Byron York asks, “Remember when Democrats (and everybody else) thought Kamala Harris was a bad vice president?”

He lists many influential writers and editorial boards which had universally panned Harris. York goes on…

In February 2023, the New York Times published an article titled, “Kamala Harris Is Trying to Define Her Vice Presidency. Even Her Allies Are Tired of Waiting.” The headline was generous, given what followed. “The painful reality for Ms. Harris is that in private conversations over the last few months, dozens of Democrats in the White House, on Capitol Hill, and around the nation … said [Harris] had not risen to the challenge of proving herself as a future leader of the party, much less the country,” the New York Times reported. “Even some Democrats whom her own advisers referred reporters to for supportive quotes confided privately that they had lost hope in her.”

What changed? Joe Biden was elbowed out of running for second term. That’s what changed.

At the time of Biden’s announcement Harris’s favorable approval rating was at a dismal 38.4%. But with Biden’s departure, York writes,

Press coverage, some of it openly adulatory, has mostly memory-holed the deficiencies of Harris as vice president. With the exception of a 27-minute Q&A with CNN, Harris has largely ignored journalists and their questions. Even if reporters were determined to grill her on her record, they haven’t had the chance and might not get the chance anytime soon

Which brings us to tonight’s debate. Most observers agreed that tonight’s debate will, in all likelihood, be the only debate. It may well be one of the most watched presidential debates ever.

Please check us out tomorrow for reaction.

Categories: Politics